Expansion of soybean farming in the North Araguaia microregion: A temporal analysis in the municipality of Confresa, Mato Grosso, Brazil.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.48017/dj.v11i2.3858Keywords:
principal component analysis, productive dynamics, Glycine max L.Abstract
Soybean (Glycine max L. Merrill) is one of the main global agricultural commodities, with Brazil standing out as the largest producer and exporter in the world. In the state of Mato Grosso, the Northern Araguaia microregion has been consolidating itself as a new agricultural frontier, with the municipality of Confresa being one of the main hubs of this expansion. In this context, this study aimed to analyze the soybean production dynamics in Confresa between 2003 and 2023. The data were obtained from the Municipal Agricultural Survey (Pesquisa Agrícola Municipal - PAM) of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística - IBGE), covering six agricultural variables. To understand the relationships between these variables and the evolution of production, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Hierarchical Cluster Analysis (HCA) were used, the latter accompanied by heat maps. The results showed a significant expansion of soybean cultivation in the municipality, with an increase in the planted area from 810 ha (2010) to 55,370 ha (2023) and production from 2,430 tons to more than 200,000 tons, representing an increase of over 8,130%. The production value rose from R$ 1.38 million in 2010 to R$ 649 million in 2022. PCA indicated that this growth was strongly associated with the expansion of the cultivated area, while productivity had a secondary influence. HCA identified four distinct temporal groups, with the most recent years showing the best production indicators. Given soybeans' leading role in the local economy, the importance of planning and adopting strategies aimed at the sustainability of agricultural activity in the municipality is emphasized.
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